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By Artur Stańczuk · September 14, 2025 · Curated by George's Blog

Ecommerce is eating retail’s lunch. And dessert.

Physical stores aren’t dying. They’re just getting smaller and everywhere.

According to Flywheel’s “2026 Global Retail Budget Planner” report, the next retail giants will be those that master both digital growth and local relevance.

Retail’s future isn’t linear. It’s a race, and digital is setting the pace.

→ $7T: Global ecommerce sales by 2030, up from $2.8T in 2020.

→ 61%: Share of retail growth claimed by ecommerce since 2026.

→ 6.9%: Ecommerce’s CAGR from 2026–29, double store-based’s 3.3%.

Digital has stopped being the disruptor. It’s the new establishment.

Growth isn’t even. Channels are fragmenting, and power’s shifting.

→ 53%: Pureplay share of ecommerce by 2029, down from 57.

→ 16%: eB2B and social commerce share, both up from 13.

→ 15%: CAGRs for eB2B and social commerce, 2026–29.

If you’re not building for new channels, you’re building for decline.

Physical retail isn’t dead. It’s being re-invented, not replaced.

→ 2M plus: Global chain stores in 2029, up 5 percent from 2023.

→ Small format: Convenience and club shops drive most new openings.

→ Hypermarkets and electronics: Flat or shrinking share of new stores.

Omnichannel means being everywhere. Not just online, not just big.

#Retail #Ecommerce #Commerce #Digital #RetailStrategy #strategy

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